The New Orleans Saints always seem to do the opposite of what punters think.
The Saints came into the game as 7.5-point favorites against the New York Giants according to Caesars Sportsbook, and not only did they fail to cover the spread, but they missed 27-21 in a overtime that the Giants have taken over, running back Saquon Barkley.
The Saints are 2-2 in a row and ATS after claiming the underdog victory over the Packers and Patriots, but failed to win either of the games (this week and September 19 against the Panthers) in which they were favorites.
This week’s contest saw the Giants take the lead early on. The Caesars line had fallen to 3.5 at one point in the second quarter and 4.5 at halftime, but it appeared Taysom Hill would lead the Saints to victory in the second half.
The Saints started the second half with a scoring campaign capped by a touchdown run from Hill, and while the Giants were able to squeeze in a basket in the third quarter, Hill scored again on a TD run of 8 yards to do it 21-ten.
At this point, it appeared the Saints were not only going to win, but cover, as they were up 11 and saw the live stream revert to the original 7.5.
But Barkley had other plans.
The Giants scored 17 unanswered points the rest of the way thanks to Barkley, who caught a 54-yard touchdown pass from Daniel Jones to make it 21-18 after Jones delivered a two-point conversion run.
The Saints were still 3.5-point favorites at this point, but the Giants then kicked a field in the dying seconds to send the game into overtime.
The Giants won the toss and it was Barkley who scored the winning touchdown for their first victory. New York is now 2-2 ATS. The Saints offense didn’t have the ball in overtime as the defense ran out of gas.
The over / under of the game was 42 points, and for the first time this season a Saints game topped the total – of course, a scoreless overtime was the only hope for under punters to save a push once the Giants tied the game in regulation 21-21.
Going forward, it’s hard to know what to think of the Saints from a betting perspective, but if current trends hold true, it would seem better to counter them if they are favored, but bet on them if they don’t. are not.
Next week, the Saints travel to DC to take on the Washington soccer team, which is 2-2 on the season but 1-3 ATS, so maybe next week will be the season. week that the Saints will finally cover if they are favored.